ZT:MORGAN STANLEY: These 19 stocks could get cut in half — or worse (谈股论金) 379次阅读
观看【Dolphin】的博客Morgan Stanley has released the stocks its analysts think could lose more than half their value in the next 12-18 months.
These "secularly challenged stocks," as the bank calls its Wednesday report, are quite diverse, but a major portion of the list are retail chains. The industries Morgan Stanley analysts are most bearish on span from mall-based clothing stores like Abercrombie & Fitch and American Eagle, to big box chains like Target, and even financial services companies like Western Union.
"Our economics team's longtime base case of a synchronous global recovery, modest increases in inflation pressures, and a gradual removal of monetary policy accommodation has now been embraced, by and large, by the consensus.”
While the report is quite pessimistic, it’s important to note that the possible drops are analysts' bear cases, or worst-case scenarios for the companies.
To compile the list, Morgan Stanley’s equity research team started with the full list of stocks its analysts rate as underweight. The bank then focused on stocks with an "unfavorable risk-reward skew," looking for stocks where the cons outweighed the pros.
Here are the 19 stocks Morgan Stanley says stand to lose the most from secular pressures in the next 12-18 months:
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19. Tenneco
19. Tenneco
Markets Insider
Ticker: TEN
Sector: Consumer Discretionary/Industrials
Downside to bear: 53.1%
Market cap: $3.41 billion
Year-to-date performance: +0.03%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime TEN charts here>>
18. BorgWarner Inc.
18. BorgWarner Inc.
Markets Insider
Ticker: BWA
Sector: Consumer Discretionary/Industrials
Downside to bear: 54%
Market cap: $11 billion
Year-to-date performance: +28.93%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime BWA charts here>>
17. United Parcel Service
17. United Parcel Service
Markets Insider
Ticker: UPS
Sector: Transportation
Downside to bear: 54.1%
Market cap: $103.8 billion
Year-to-date performance: +3.03%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime UPS charts here>>
16. American Eagle Outfitters
16. American Eagle Outfitters
Markets Insider
Ticker: AEO
Sector: Retail
Downside to bear: 55.6%
Market cap: $2.39 billion
Year-to-date performance: -10.35%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime AEO charts here>>
15. Myriad Genetics
15. Myriad Genetics
Markets Insider
Ticker: MYGN
Sector: Healthcare
Downside to bear: 57.0%
Market cap: $2.41 billion
Year-to-date performance: +98.94%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime MYGN charts here>>
14. Juniper Networks
14. Juniper Networks
Markets Insider
Ticker: JNPR
Sector: Technology
Downside to bear: 57.7%
Market cap: $9.90 billion
Year-to-date performance: -14.1%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime JNPR charts here>>
13. CBL & Associates Properties
13. CBL & Associates Properties
Markets Insider
Ticker: CBL
Sector: Property
Downside to bear: 58.3%
Market cap: $2.01 billion
Year-to-date performance: -28.39%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime CBL charts here>>
12. Waddell & Reed Financial
12. Waddell & Reed Financial
Markets Insider
Ticker: WDR
Sector: Financial
Downside to bear: 61.1%
Market cap: $1.72 billion
Year-to-date performance: +0.15%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime WDR charts here>>
11. Norfolk Southern
11. Norfolk Southern
Markets Insider
Ticker: NSC
Sector: Transportation
Downside to bear: 62.3%
Market cap: $38.26 billion
Year-to-date performance: 20.28%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime NSC charts here>>
10. Imperva
10. Imperva
Markets Insider
Ticker: IMPV
Sector: Technology
Downside to bear : 62.0%
Market cap: $1.51 billion
Year-to-date performance: +13.16%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime IMPV charts here>>
9. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries
9. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries
Markets Insider
Ticker: TEVA
Sector: Healthcare
Downside to bear: 66.4%
Market cap: $18.76 billion
Year-to-date performance: -62.86%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime TEVA charts here>>
8. American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings
8. American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings
Markets Insider
Ticker: AXL
Sector: Consumer Discretionary/Industrials
Downside to bear: 67.9%
Market cap: $2.08 billion
Year-to-date performance: -6.57%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime AXL charts here>>
7. DSW
7. DSW
Markets Insider
Ticker: DSW
Sector: Retail
Downside to bear: 70.6%
Market cap: $1.50 billion
Year-to-date performance: -0.71%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime DSW charts here>>
6. Bioverativ
6. Bioverativ
Markets Insider
Ticker: BIVV
Sector: Healthcare
Downside to bear: 71.8%
Market cap: $6.52 billion
Year-to-date performance: 30.51%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime BIVV charts here>>
5. Hawaiian Holdings
5. Hawaiian Holdings
Markets Insider
Ticker: HA
Sector: Transportation
Downside to bear: 73.6%
Market cap: $2.18 billion
Year-to-date performance: -35.98%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime HA charts here>>
4. Castlight Health
4. Castlight Health
Markets Insider
Ticker: CSLT
Sector: Healthcare
Downside to bear: 54.1%
Market cap: $327.28 million
Year-to-date performance: -14.14%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime CSLT charts here>>
3. Abercrombie & Fitch
3. Abercrombie & Fitch
Markets Insider
Ticker: ANF
Sector: Retail
Downside to bear: 85.5%
Market cap: $921.19 million
Year-to-date performance: +17.96%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime ANF charts here>>
2. Avis Budget Group
2. Avis Budget Group
Markets Insider
Ticker: CAR
Sector: Consumer Discretionary/Industrials
Downside to bear %:
Market cap: $3.41 billion
Year-to-date performance: +9.75%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime CAR charts here>>
1. Gogo
1. Gogo
Markets Insider
Ticker: GOGO
Sector: Telcom services
Downside to bear: 90.6%
Market cap: $924 million
Year-to-date performance:+5.54%
Source: Morgan Stanley
Get realtime GOGO charts here>>
完整帖子:
- 10/27/2017 《每日资讯时事综述股市快报》 - 新东, 2017-10-26
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- 野猪早!也希望油下来,让栈里的同学都解套。 - 新东, 2017-10-27
- 我昨天也在52.2买了D油,套住了,也在望眼欲穿油跌呢。 - Boars, 2017-10-27
- 我也是,今天又加了点D油,越套越深了 - 油气金, 2017-10-27
- 看下周吧。我反正是割了安心过周末。 - Boars, 2017-10-27
- 我也是,今天又加了点D油,越套越深了 - 油气金, 2017-10-27
- 我昨天也在52.2买了D油,套住了,也在望眼欲穿油跌呢。 - Boars, 2017-10-27
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- 据市场消息,特朗普倾向选择鲍威尔出任下届美联储主席。 - Dolphin, 2017-10-27
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- ZT:MORGAN STANLEY: These 19 stocks could get cut in half — or worse - Dolphin, 2017-10-27
- 选了个ANF空一点点 - wsxz, 2017-10-27
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- 又到周末了,不管现在是什么心情,请让它过去吧,安心过周末。祝老师和同学们周末愉快! - 新东, 2017-10-27
- 谢谢东东!跟胖胖聊着聊着我就忘了所发生的故事了。祝周末愉快!下周再战! - Boars, 2017-10-27
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